Bottom Line:  The Job Openings Layoffs and Turnover Survey showed higher-than-expected job openings in April. But importantly, the quit rate continued lower, suggesting employees are less confident that the labor market is so tight they can quickly get a new job if they leave their current job. Openings rose the most in education and healthcare, with solid gains in the trade and transportation sector, as well. Lagged relative to most labor reports and our nowcast forecasts, the JOLTS survey is helpful in its detail and has often been cited by Fed officials in recent years. The quit rate has been a particular focus of Fed Chair Powell. While the increase in openings is a concern, potentially suggesting that the labor market tightened in April, the quit rate likely offers more insight than the level of openings. Job openings are cheap to advertise, with many employers leaving advertisements on digital platforms out even though they have little intention of filling the role unless the perfect candidate comes along. Thus, openings are structurally higher in this cycle (and probably much longer) relative to total employment. Overall, the details of the JOLTs report, especially the quit rate, suggest the historically tight labor market continues to slacken slowly.

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Job Openings, Layoffs & Turnover Survey - Key RatesApr-23Mar-233m. avg.6m. avg.12m. avg.20225y
Hires Rate Total3.93.93.94.04.14.24.1
Job Openings Rate Total6.15.96.06.36.56.85.4
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Total1.01.21.11.01.01.01.3
Other Separations Rate Total0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Total2.42.52.52.62.62.82.4
Total Separations Rate Total3.73.93.83.83.94.04.0
Unemployed Per Opening Rate Total0.60.60.60.60.50.51.0
Hires Rate Total private4.34.34.34.44.44.64.5
Job Openings Rate Total private6.46.26.36.66.87.25.7
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Total private1.11.31.21.11.11.11.5
Other Separations Rate Total private0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Total private2.72.72.72.82.93.12.7
Total Separations Rate Total private4.04.24.14.24.24.34.4
Hires Rate Mining & logging3.83.83.93.83.93.83.6
Job Openings Rate Mining & logging4.64.65.05.45.25.54.0
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Mining & logging1.01.11.10.90.90.81.6
Other Separations Rate Mining & logging0.40.20.30.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Mining & logging1.52.32.22.22.22.12.0
Total Separations Rate Mining & logging2.93.73.63.43.33.13.8
Hires Rate Construction4.54.94.74.74.74.75.2
Job Openings Rate Construction4.63.84.44.54.64.94.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Construction2.43.82.82.42.21.92.6
Other Separations Rate Construction0.20.10.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Construction2.11.81.92.02.22.42.2
Total Separations Rate Construction4.75.85.04.64.64.55.0
Hires Rate Manufacturing3.02.93.03.13.33.63.2
Job Openings Rate Manufacturing4.95.15.15.45.76.24.6
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Manufacturing0.90.90.90.90.80.81.1
Other Separations Rate Manufacturing0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Manufacturing1.92.02.02.02.12.31.9
Total Separations Rate Manufacturing3.03.03.03.03.13.33.2
Hires Rate Durable goods2.62.72.72.72.93.22.9
Job Openings Rate Durable goods4.55.05.05.45.76.24.4
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Durable goods0.80.80.70.70.70.71.0
Other Separations Rate Durable goods0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Durable goods1.51.81.71.71.82.01.7
Total Separations Rate Durable goods2.42.82.62.62.72.92.8
Hires Rate Nondurable goods3.73.23.73.74.04.33.8
Job Openings Rate Nondurable goods5.75.45.35.45.76.24.9
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Nondurable goods1.21.11.21.11.11.01.2
Other Separations Rate Nondurable goods0.20.10.10.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Nondurable goods2.62.32.62.62.62.92.3
Total Separations Rate Nondurable goods3.93.53.83.83.94.13.7
Hires Rate Trade, trans., & utilities4.34.14.34.44.44.64.5
Job Openings Rate Trade, trans., & utilities5.84.75.35.55.55.85.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Trade, trans., & utilities1.11.01.11.01.01.01.3
Other Separations Rate Trade, trans., & utilities0.20.30.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Trade, trans., & utilities3.13.03.13.23.13.32.9
Total Separations Rate Trade, trans., & utilities4.44.34.44.44.34.44.5
Hires Rate Wholesale trade2.92.52.92.93.03.12.8
Job Openings Rate Wholesale trade4.14.74.54.34.54.84.0
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Wholesale trade0.80.80.80.90.90.80.9
Other Separations Rate Wholesale trade0.00.10.10.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Wholesale trade2.21.71.91.81.81.81.7
Total Separations Rate Wholesale trade3.02.62.92.82.82.72.7
Hires Rate Retail trade4.64.54.64.74.85.05.2
Job Openings Rate Retail trade5.74.55.05.35.45.95.3
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Retail trade1.00.91.00.90.90.91.4
Other Separations Rate Retail trade0.30.30.30.20.20.10.2
Quits Rate Retail trade3.53.63.63.73.73.93.6
Total Separations Rate Retail trade4.94.84.84.84.84.95.2
Hires Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities4.84.74.74.94.94.94.6
Job Openings Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities7.15.36.66.86.76.65.8
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities1.41.41.51.51.41.21.5
Other Separations Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities0.20.20.20.20.20.30.3
Quits Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities3.02.92.93.23.13.12.5
Total Separations Rate Trans., warehousing, & utilities4.64.64.64.94.74.54.3
Hires Rate Information2.63.83.23.23.33.53.4
Job Openings Rate Information5.35.55.35.06.06.95.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Information0.51.61.21.41.31.21.4
Other Separations Rate Information0.20.10.20.30.30.20.2
Quits Rate Information1.61.41.51.41.61.61.6
Total Separations Rate Information2.33.12.93.13.13.13.2
Hires Rate Financial activities2.52.22.32.42.52.62.5
Job Openings Rate Financial activities5.35.05.05.45.75.94.6
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Financial activities0.50.60.50.60.60.60.7
Other Separations Rate Financial activities0.10.20.30.20.30.30.3
Quits Rate Financial activities1.61.41.41.41.51.71.5
Total Separations Rate Financial activities2.22.12.12.32.42.52.4
Hires Rate Finance and insurance2.21.92.02.02.12.42.2
Job Openings Rate Finance and insurance5.85.05.25.45.55.64.5
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Finance and insurance0.50.50.40.60.50.50.5
Other Separations Rate Finance and insurance0.10.20.30.20.30.30.3
Quits Rate Finance and insurance1.31.11.11.21.31.51.3
Total Separations Rate Finance and insurance1.91.81.82.02.12.32.1
Hires Rate Real estate & rental & leasing3.43.03.43.53.43.43.5
Job Openings Rate Real estate & rental & leasing4.05.14.75.36.06.44.7
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Real estate & rental & leasing0.70.90.80.90.80.71.2
Other Separations Rate Real estate & rental & leasing0.00.10.10.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Real estate & rental & leasing2.32.12.22.12.12.21.9
Total Separations Rate Real estate & rental & leasing3.03.13.13.23.23.13.3
Hires Rate Prof. & business serv.5.55.15.25.15.35.65.5
Job Openings Rate Prof. & business serv.7.17.37.37.98.18.76.8
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Prof. & business serv.1.81.81.81.81.71.62.0
Other Separations Rate Prof. & business serv.0.30.20.20.20.30.30.3
Quits Rate Prof. & business serv.2.72.92.82.83.13.43.1
Total Separations Rate Prof. & business serv.4.85.04.84.95.05.35.4
Hires Rate Education & health serv.3.53.53.53.53.53.53.3
Job Openings Rate Education & health serv.7.77.27.37.57.88.16.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Education & health serv.0.60.80.70.60.60.60.8
Other Separations Rate Education & health serv.0.20.10.10.10.20.20.2
Quits Rate Education & health serv.2.32.52.42.42.42.42.2
Total Separations Rate Education & health serv.3.13.43.23.23.23.23.2
Hires Rate Educational serv.2.62.62.62.62.62.72.7
Job Openings Rate Educational serv.4.65.14.74.54.54.43.7
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Educational serv.0.50.80.70.70.70.71.1
Other Separations Rate Educational serv.0.10.10.10.10.10.20.1
Quits Rate Educational serv.1.51.61.51.41.51.61.4
Total Separations Rate Educational serv.2.12.52.32.22.32.42.6
Hires Rate Health care & social assistance3.63.73.63.73.73.73.4
Job Openings Rate Health care & social assistance8.27.57.78.08.48.86.6
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Health care & social assistance0.60.70.60.60.60.60.8
Other Separations Rate Health care & social assistance0.30.10.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Health care & social assistance2.42.72.62.62.62.62.3
Total Separations Rate Health care & social assistance3.23.53.33.43.33.33.3
Hires Rate Leisure & hospitality6.66.66.87.07.27.47.7
Job Openings Rate Leisure & hospitality7.78.17.98.68.79.27.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Leisure & hospitality1.11.71.31.31.31.32.6
Other Separations Rate Leisure & hospitality0.00.20.10.10.10.10.2
Quits Rate Leisure & hospitality4.64.54.95.05.25.44.8
Total Separations Rate Leisure & hospitality5.86.46.36.46.66.97.6
Hires Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation7.07.07.37.07.07.17.5
Job Openings Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation8.99.18.77.87.57.26.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation2.63.93.22.83.03.14.2
Other Separations Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation0.00.20.10.10.10.10.1
Quits Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation3.32.83.13.23.33.33.2
Total Separations Rate Arts, entertainment, & recreation6.06.86.46.16.36.47.5
Hires Rate Accommodation & food serv.6.66.56.77.07.27.57.7
Job Openings Rate Accommodation & food serv.7.58.07.88.88.99.57.4
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Accommodation & food serv.0.91.31.01.01.01.02.3
Other Separations Rate Accommodation & food serv.0.00.20.10.10.10.20.2
Quits Rate Accommodation & food serv.4.84.85.25.35.65.85.1
Total Separations Rate Accommodation & food serv.5.76.36.36.46.77.07.6
Hires Rate Other serv.3.34.13.73.83.83.94.1
Job Openings Rate Other serv.6.05.95.95.65.76.15.1
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Other serv.0.91.00.90.91.01.01.7
Other Separations Rate Other serv.0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate Other serv.2.22.32.22.32.42.52.2
Total Separations Rate Other serv.3.33.63.43.43.63.74.1
Hires Rate Government1.71.81.81.81.81.81.7
Job Openings Rate Government4.14.44.34.44.44.53.6
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Government0.40.40.40.40.40.40.5
Other Separations Rate Government0.30.20.30.30.30.30.3
Quits Rate Government0.90.90.90.91.01.00.9
Total Separations Rate Government1.61.61.61.61.61.71.7
Hires Rate Federal1.51.61.61.51.51.51.6
Job Openings Rate Federal4.34.44.44.74.74.64.2
Layoffs & Discharges Rate Federal0.20.20.20.20.30.20.5
Other Separations Rate Federal0.50.50.50.50.50.50.4
Quits Rate Federal0.60.60.60.60.70.70.7
Total Separations Rate Federal1.41.31.31.41.41.51.6
Hires Rate State & local1.71.81.81.91.91.91.7
Job Openings Rate State & local4.14.44.34.44.44.53.5
Layoffs & Discharges Rate State & local0.40.40.40.40.40.40.5
Other Separations Rate State & local0.30.20.20.20.30.30.3
Quits Rate State & local0.91.00.91.01.01.10.9
Total Separations Rate State & local1.61.61.61.61.71.81.7
Hires Rate State & local education1.71.61.71.81.71.81.6
Job Openings Rate State & local education2.83.03.03.03.03.12.5
Layoffs & Discharges Rate State & local education0.40.40.40.40.30.30.4
Other Separations Rate State & local education0.20.20.20.20.20.20.2
Quits Rate State & local education1.01.00.91.01.01.10.9
Total Separations Rate State & local education1.61.51.51.51.61.61.6
Hires Rate State & local, excluding education1.71.91.82.02.02.01.7
Job Openings Rate State & local, excluding education5.55.95.75.95.96.04.6
Layoffs & Discharges Rate State & local, excluding education0.40.40.40.40.40.40.5
Other Separations Rate State & local, excluding education0.30.20.30.30.30.30.3
Quits Rate State & local, excluding education0.81.00.91.01.11.10.9
Total Separations Rate State & local, excluding education1.61.71.61.71.81.91.7
-----------------------------------
Job Openings Level TotalApr-23Mar-233m. avg.6m. avg.12m. avg.20225y
Job Openings Level Total10103.09745.09940.710394.210639.311179.88581.0
Job Openings Level Total private9140.08710.08936.39357.09605.710134.67746.8
Job Openings Level Mining & logging31.030.033.336.234.235.426.9
Job Openings Level Construction383.0315.0367.3370.2379.8401.8327.9
Job Openings Level Manufacturing676.0702.0695.0740.5783.0853.2614.8
Job Openings Level Durable goods382.0422.0421.0460.2485.8529.8367.7
Job Openings Level Nondurable goods294.0281.0274.3280.5297.2323.4247.1
Job Openings Level Trade, trans., & utilities1765.01436.01624.01667.21685.71781.81516.2
Job Openings Level Wholesale trade261.0296.0282.7271.7286.0298.4241.1
Job Openings Level Retail trade942.0733.0825.3865.5879.6969.2865.4
Job Openings Level Trans., warehousing, & utilities561.0407.0515.7529.8519.9514.1409.7
Job Openings Level Information174.0181.0174.7163.5197.6227.5160.8
Job Openings Level Financial activities513.0479.0484.3515.0544.8560.8422.1
Job Openings Level Finance and insurance412.0349.0364.0379.8392.0399.5308.8
Job Openings Level Real estate & rental & leasing102.0130.0120.7135.3152.9161.4113.2
Job Openings Level Prof. & business serv.1748.01805.01801.71952.32001.32136.31591.3
Job Openings Level Education & health serv.2097.01932.01967.72010.52088.82161.01590.4
Job Openings Level Educational serv.189.0210.0194.3183.7180.2176.7140.3
Job Openings Level Health care & social assistance1907.01722.01773.01826.71908.51984.31450.1
Job Openings Level Leisure & hospitality1377.01463.01422.71557.31543.01606.21193.6
Job Openings Level Arts, entertainment, & recreation237.0243.0232.7205.0192.2179.9144.6
Job Openings Level Accommodation & food serv.1140.01220.01190.01352.31350.81426.21049.0
Job Openings Level Other serv.376.0367.0365.3344.3347.4370.1302.8
Job Openings Level Government963.01034.01004.01037.21033.81045.3834.4
Job Openings Level Federal130.0133.0134.3144.3143.7140.2127.6
Job Openings Level State & local833.0902.0870.3893.2890.1904.8706.7
Job Openings Level State & local education298.0321.0316.7322.3320.9327.7262.6
Job Openings Level State & local, excluding education535.0580.0553.3570.7569.2577.3444.2
source: Bureau of Labor Statistics API
JOLTS - HiringApr-23Mar-233m. avg.6m. avg.12m. avg.20225y
Hires Level Total6115.06066.06110.36193.76280.26429.26113.0
Hires Level Total private5739.05671.05721.35785.85875.46022.95740.3
Hires Level Mining & logging24.024.024.724.324.123.223.5
Hires Level Construction356.0383.0368.7368.3368.2367.5388.8
Hires Level Manufacturing387.0373.0392.0401.3425.0458.8404.8
Hires Level Durable goods208.0216.0213.7219.3231.6251.2225.5
Hires Level Nondurable goods179.0156.0178.0182.0193.5207.7179.3
Hires Level Trade, trans., & utilities1241.01195.01233.01262.71279.71305.81255.8
Hires Level Wholesale trade174.0149.0172.3173.8177.0181.2163.4
Hires Level Retail trade716.0701.0715.0733.7747.1774.9789.0
Hires Level Trans., warehousing, & utilities351.0345.0345.7355.2355.8349.8303.4
Hires Level Information80.0117.097.397.7102.2107.296.9
Hires Level Financial activities229.0198.0212.7218.8224.8238.9224.8
Hires Level Finance and insurance147.0127.0130.7135.0143.4158.8145.2
Hires Level Real estate & rental & leasing82.071.082.084.081.680.279.5
Hires Level Prof. & business serv.1261.01169.01181.31170.01203.01260.11188.5
Hires Level Education & health serv.869.0883.0871.7880.7866.5857.8783.7
Hires Level Educational serv.101.0100.0101.7100.0101.6103.899.7
Hires Level Health care & social assistance769.0783.0770.3780.8764.9753.8684.0
Hires Level Leisure & hospitality1096.01089.01122.31143.21159.71177.91144.4
Hires Level Arts, entertainment, & recreation170.0170.0177.7169.2166.1163.0162.4
Hires Level Accommodation & food serv.925.0919.0944.0973.8993.81015.2982.1
Hires Level Other serv.195.0239.0217.3218.8222.2225.6229.0
Hires Level Government376.0395.0389.0407.8404.8406.2372.7
Hires Level Federal43.047.046.043.743.142.247.8
Hires Level State & local333.0348.0343.0364.2361.8364.1325.0
Hires Level State & local education173.0170.0172.3180.2178.8179.1166.2
Hires Level State & local, excluding education160.0178.0170.3183.8182.7184.8158.8
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