Bottom Line: The Dallas Fed's Manufacturing Survey index rebounded slightly and remained firmly in contraction territory in June. On an ISM-weighted basis, the index fell, hitting its lowest level in this cycle and suggesting the details were weaker than the headline. The contraction in new orders accelerated to the downside as production slipped at a faster rate. On the plus side, employment was still growing but only slightly. Raw material prices were nearly unchanged. Overall, the Dallas Fed survey painted an even more bleak picture of the manufacturing sector than many other regional surveys. Manufacturing remains a headwind for activity, primarily because of tepid goods consumption. 

Month-over-month % change for most recent months, followed by annualized % changes for periods noted. 5- and 10-year are simple averages of annual % changes.
Dallas Fed Activity Index ComponentsJun-23May-233m. avg.6m. avg.12m. avg.20225y
General business activity-23.20-29.10-25.20-18.90-18.80-9.85-0.10
ISM-Weighted-9.91-4.64-5.60-4.40-2.605.877.20
Production-4.20-1.30-1.50-0.802.008.6911.00
New orders-16.60-16.10-14.10-12.30-11.80-0.945.20
Capacity utilization-6.00-4.90-2.30-0.502.108.3810.20
Growth rate of orders-23.70-20.70-18.50-16.70-14.00-3.280.80
Unfilled orders-8.50-15.50-11.80-10.80-5.703.042.60
Shipments-17.00-3.00-7.60-7.40-3.805.088.80
Delivery time-4.30-7.30-3.90-1.30-1.008.606.90
Finished goods inventories-4.701.10-2.40-2.10-1.400.18-3.30
Prices paid for raw materials1.4013.8011.6016.8023.2047.0636.20
Prices received for finished goods-1.900.402.306.6012.9030.1315.80
Capital expenditures0.30-3.70-0.202.104.8010.438.60
Future general business activity-4.50-12.70-11.30-9.50-13.40-7.928.40
Outlook uncertainty16.7013.4018.3019.8023.2027.3218.50
Employment2.209.606.607.8010.9017.8913.40
Wages and benefits25.3025.0029.3030.3033.8043.6229.60
Hours worked-4.30-0.90-2.600.602.909.547.60
Future employment27.2024.8025.1022.5022.2029.1628.60
Future wages and benefits34.9036.1033.8037.4042.5054.7244.00
Future hours worked3.30-2.602.002.503.307.338.60
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